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列印 2019/7/24 上午 06:11:02

文章作者 jieh2018/10/9 下午 10:49:02
<仙人的選擇權>每日觀盤心得:上週重挫的台股,本週預計可落底...
<span style="font-size: large;">每日總分析2018-10-05 (五)</span>
<span style="font-size: large;">上週重挫的台股,本週預計可落底</span>

<span style="font-size: large;">-盤勢分析-</span>
<span style="font-size: large;">由於一早開不夠低,讓投資人擔心是否還能往下跌,不過主力還是往下控盤,兩波下殺一次破10600,一次破10500。盤中從最低點瞬間反彈了170點,有初步的止跌訊號,原本已經在找點做多,但在盤後由於美股繼續崩跌,所以台股再度跌破低點,來到10404,差跌就破。讓人更難抓這裡是否真的是低點了,不過,散戶的你、我、什麼老師、什麼家教的,誰都沒有辦法抓到高低點,能抓到,的只有主力,所以繼續跟著盤勢走,買做多單,停損便是。</span>

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<span style="font-size: large;">籌碼分析:</span>
<span style="font-size: large;">外資現貨賣超68億,期貨多單減少1511口,未平艙剩下7709口,兩年來新低。週選區間鎖定在11000-10550間,對,你沒看錯,不但沒有退守,還往前進,這裡也透露很少看到的跡象,最大量的PUT比實際指數還高,是要預告之後就會反彈回來?還是莊家終究會認輸?我們繼續看下去。</span>

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<img border="0" height="456" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-TyIY5EFaCRU/W7y_ZZ-hkiI/AAAAAAAAVV8/MzyBJrRDqgcLXL9BmVx3TmTN6nh9u5jYQCK4BGAYYCw/s640/43473299_246153586075311_8499560401258676224_n.png" width="640" />
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<span style="font-size: large;">-明日預估</span>
<span style="font-size: large;">期貨震盪一定很大,由於盤後又破了禮拜五的低點10431,所以會不會殺破10400也變得難說,但是禮拜五盤中強拉了170點的瞬間反彈,也確實是空單回補的跡象,這裡我偏向於一次破到底,10392,(我們無法排除10189的可能性,只是很低罷了。)然後絕地大反彈歡度國慶日。</span>

<span style="font-size: large;">手上有BP與BC,,預期在明日的震盪中出脫,然後在佈局期貨多單(停損點20點),建議可操作11月期貨來進行長線單。</span>

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<span style="font-size: large;">$盤前策略</span>

<span style="font-size: large;">今天若開很低到10600-10620,就先一併將BP10600與10700+10750價差單先出掉。(價格太高)</span>

<span style="font-size: large;">並換成BP10550與10550+10500價差單組合。</span>

<span style="font-size: large;">----------------------------------------------------------------------------</span>
<span style="font-size: large;">若開不夠低,開在10620以上,就先買進一口BP10550。</span>
<span style="font-size: large;">並減碼兩口10700+10750價差單。</span>

<span style="font-size: large;">-----------------------------------------------------------------------------</span>
<span style="font-size: large;">今天若期貨低於10600,就先把小台出一口,確認跌破10580並往下衝,才追空。</span>

<span style="font-size: large;">$盤中分析</span>

<span style="font-size: large;">今天開盤一小時內就充滿刺激,果然如同預期的開不夠低會有的結果,前十分鐘會讓人覺得今天要止跌了,卻又突然殺34點下來,就在大家以為要繼續往下跌到昨天盤後的位置,卻又拉了30點,又讓人擔心了,因為接下來指數盤著不太動,5根K之後才破,破了又來個紅K,然後才再來一個黑K,之後才慢慢慢慢往10600跑,這樣很折磨人。</span>

<span style="font-size: large;">要很有信心一定會破10600才能抱得住。</span>

<img border="0" height="326" src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-SvUXhHukmkI/W7y-TUECS4I/AAAAAAAAVVI/XmQUkEGNJ_kLgtdlyEhkMCnNbMmTlY6vwCK4BGAYYCw/s640/43074501_245344126156257_6487534945123172352_n.png" width="640" />
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<span style="font-size: large;">今天應該是止跌了</span>
<span style="font-size: large;">但是最後末跌段殺了很激烈,10600破之後,一路往10500殺去,還殺破了,急速殺到10430,之後就來個超急速大反彈,一個紅K100點,空單都在搶著回補,深怕補不到好價位。</span>

<span style="font-size: large;">空單我也回補了,等下看情況要反手做多期貨。</span>

<img border="0" height="280" src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-OhIO0KOT_Fs/W7y-ptOqbZI/AAAAAAAAVVU/eJjnp4CILUcm04B2k6B1psoUZRebR2LlwCK4BGAYYCw/s640/43138044_245352626155407_679912392611594240_n.png" width="640" />

<span style="font-size: large;">做了一口期貨多單在10497</span>

<span style="font-size: large;">今天盤勢很殺,所以跌破10470我會停損的</span>


<span style="font-size: large;">歡迎加入我們 Facebook 的社團一起研究和交流:<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/1656610121252658/" target="_blank">選擇權,選出勝利的複利人生</a>
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<span style="font-size: large;">轉載自:<a href="https://winoptionplus.blogspot.tw/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">選擇權,選出勝利的複利人生(點我追蹤最新心得)</a></span>
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